Category Archives: GDP

U.S. Weekly Economic Roundup: What’s The Rush?

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is shaping up to be a real cliffhanger. The minutes of July’s meeting didn’t give a clear signal regarding the September move for a rate hike. It is clear, however, that the participants are not in agreement yet. The Fed’s downside risks have increased since their meeting […]

U.S. Economic Forecast: The Terrible Twos

Recent data suggest the U.S. economy has rebounded fairly well from its contraction in the first quarter of the year, giving financial-market participants, as well as American businesses and consumers, reason to be somewhat optimistic. Job gains accelerated after a lull in March, and housing activity strengthened after a deep winter chill. Also, at long […]

Economic Update: Great Expectations

Housing and the Recovery

Much of the recent news on housing is more upbeat.  The National Association of Home Builders sentiment survey marked  another gain in the last report, housing starts are advancing and more home price indices, including S&P/Case-Shiller, are seeing gains. Some analysts are even arguing that the bottom is behind us and its up from here.  […]

Video: Q&A with David Blitzer from S&P Capital IQ Housing Webinar

David Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the S&P Index Committee, addresses additional questions from the S&P Capital IQ Housing webinar in this short video.  Watch this clip as David provides insight on on the multiple factors that will impact the housing marketing, including the overall status of the economy, interest rate action by the […]

Upbeat News

Good news on housing seems like an oxymoron to most people but today brought two examples. The front page of the Wall Street Journal carries a story, “Stunned Buyers Find the Bidding Wars on Back.”  Yes, the Journal blames the competition on a supply shortage rather than excessive demand, but if there’s anything likely to […]

What Next for Home Prices

Next Tuesday, January 31st, will see the next S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices report with data for November 2011. Coming off some signs that the economy is strengthening combined with mixed reports on housing, attention will focus on home prices. Bullish sentiment will point to the preliminary 4th quarter GDP report released on Friday, January 25th. […]

U.S. economic forecast: it’s not over yet

Just as some good news finally came our way in June, increasing our hopes that the soft patch in the economy may finally be behind us, the government’s payrolls report on July 8 indicated that it isn’t over yet. Automatic Data Processing’s (ADP’s) June private payrolls survey had showed that employers had added a solid […]

Liquidity is a key focus as the recovery for U.S. homebuilders remains elusive

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services’ base-case outlook for credit quality in the U.S. homebuilding sector is generally stable through the balance of 2011 despite a disappointing spring selling season. Our cautiously stable outlook for 2012 could tilt in a negative direction if our baseline forecast for a modest housing recovery again fails to materialize and […]

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